Wednesday, November 12, 2008

More than one shot of cold air

Winter will come early...Not only this weekend but if the models of choice are correct it could be early next week as well. Take a look at what happens on Saturday.

850 mb temperatures are -6. That's pretty cold for this time of year. You can also see the gateway of cold air from the Arctic Circle is opened up across the plains. This comes into play later by early next week. It's even colder by Sunday morning with 850 mb temperatures around -12! That's why I think we'll see lows in the teens Sunday morning. I have to qualify that prediction by saying that if we have clouds it won't get quite that cold.
Then there's Tuesday of next week! You want to talk cold air. How about -16 C. Ouch!

Clouds will shroud the area with showers as a southwestern weather system will bring in some moderately warmer air into the picture through the end of the week. But don't expect this pattern to last much longer as a northern system will turn temperatures sharply colder by the weekend. Highs will be in the 30s and lows could be in the teens.

7 Day Forecast

Today
High: 49°Low: 42°
Rain
THU
High: 58°Low: 45°
Showers
FRI
High: 57°Low: 34°
Cloudy
SAT
High: 38°Low: 17°
Light Snow
SUN
High: 37°Low: 26°
Light Snow
MON
High: 41°Low: 22°
Cloudy
TUE
Cold
High: 36

Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Here we go again

I love this time of year! When forecasts are so much different. We'll it's happening again and here's my rational and factual evidence of the chilly weather possible this weekend. My friendly ECMWF model is coming in very cold with -6 850 mb temperatures by Saturday morning.
And take a look at this: Yep -12 by Sunday morning, if you thought this morning was cold look out. (Although the clouds may keep the temperatures up on Monday morning)
A real winter like feeling in the air this morning as temperatures are in the 20s. The clear skies will bring a sunny start but clouds will increase as a weather system comes from the southwestern U.S. This system will bring warmer air through the end of the week, but it will also bring some showers. An arctic weather system will move in from the north over the weekend taking temperatures down into the 30s.

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Another in a string of unbelievable warm days for the area as highs will be in the 70s. That over 20 degrees above normal and once again close to record setting. A strong weather system continues to build to our west. This western strom is going to bring November temperatures along with it. Highs will drop into the 60s on Friday and into the lower 40s for the weekend.

I think it's about time to get into our analysis mode. I'll try to put something together today using that old standard European model.

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

If you were to vote for a perfect today would likely be your choice. Temperatures this afternoon will be almost 20 degrees above normal. Highs will continue to be well above normal through most of the week. Thursday night a very strong western system will begin to bring temperatures down. Friday highs will be in the middle 60s and it will be a breezy and much colder start to the weekend as temperatures will fall into the 40s!

Monday, November 3, 2008

Get ready for some September-like weather! Temperatures will soar into the 70s this afternoon. These temperatures are about 20 degrees above normal for this time of year. Highs will continue to soar through the middle of the week but by the middle of the week our flow changes to more of a northern flow with highs falling into the 50s on Thursday and the 40s on Friday and through the weekend.