It's Back

For all who think I had forgotten how to blog you may be correct. Sorry for the lapse, I'll try to get a daily synopsis out here for you and open up for discussion. Today is a good day to begin, (again). We've seen a series of low pressure systems coming out of the southwest the last two weeks. A couple of things to watch with these weather systems.
I'm a little concern with the QPF map putting a 'bulls eye' right across the northern part of the state. It has 1.30" of rain. That's not good news as the ground is still saturated from the six plus inches we've had in the last 20 days.
Here is the surface analysis for today. You can see that low pressure is being forced north by a fast moving jet stream. This strong jet stream is left over from our cold winter and is going to be a factor through the early part of the spring and may linger into early summer. Because of these factors we could see some violent spring weather across the south. Don't be surprised to hear about more tornadoes across the south today and tomorrow.
Here is the jet stream pattern for this week. For today you can see there is a real dip across the central part of the U.S. This is being caused by low pressure which will bring quite a bit of instability to what we traditionally call 'tornado alley' later today.

For us, I think heavy rain is about as severe as it will get around here. You can see the jet stream improving and moving north later in the week. That will be the return of high pressure which will greet us with sunshine after tomorrow.