Monday, December 22, 2008

First the ice and now the bitter cold: It looks like one more bitter cold day with temperatures in the single digits with partly sunny skies. Lows will be below zero for another night. You can see this huge area of high pressure. This is what we call a cold core high.




*Can be shallow or deep: most intense at the surface (due to cold/dense air) and weaken with height if away from source region. The upper levels will show a deep trough if the polar air mass moves into mid-latitudes. Cold core highs are deep near their source regions*Precipitation generally lacking near cold core high center*Covers a large spatial area*Produces synoptic scale surface subsidence*Develop over high latitude land.


So basically the cold polar air gets trapped at the surface while the warmer air which has a lower density and pressure rides above it, making for a dome which sits across the area.


Some relief?

I apologize for the complexity of these models today. My normal site where I love to get data is down this morning. These are 500 mb heights with surface pressure. The thickness value which I have derived off these models through the end of the week has moderating temperatures. Here's the problem though, we could still see some warm air overriding the frigid air on the surface for some freezing rain on Tuesday and Tuesday night. After that we should begin to see warmer air.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Greg---what would it take to get the cold air at the surface moving out...strong winds from the south?

Greg Shoup said...

That certainly would help, but if you look at the pressure for this high it was 1052 this morning. That is unheard of and makes this cold air very heavy. The air needs to be mixed out. My biggest worry is that this next pacific storm does not warm the surface and we get another ice storm! That would be a horrible blow to the area.