Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Forecast complications

Forecast Challenges: Certainly some forecast challenges over the next 24 hours and beyond. The first is how much snow tonight with this "clipper" system? Well a couple of thoughts, many times clippers bring in their own moisture. It also depends on how quickly it cools. I don't think one to two inches is out of the question north of Fort Wayne since that area will be in the snow for longer because it will cool off faster. Here's a look at one of the numerical read outs we see at the weather center. 081203/2000Z 14 20010KT 38.7F RAIN This line tells us that at 20z or at about 3pm we will begin to see rain. 081204/0600Z 24 30010KT 32.2F SNOW. This line tells us that around 6z on December 4th (or 2am) we will begin to see the snow as temperatures will reach the 32 degree mark.





Thursday: The end result after the snow will be the cold temperatures. With some sunshine we should be able to just squeak into the lower 30s.





Friday through the weekend: Another clipper system comes in. I think it's going to bring some warm air and some snow but I don't really like the track of this system for heavy snow.


Here is a look at the end of the day Saturday. The low is just a little two far snow for a big snow. But that cold air certainly will make a presence.


Next Week: Next week we may be looking at a very interesting situation. A system to our south approaches the area. If we get the right track on this one we could be looking at significant snowfall. The temperatures are another matter, they got to be a little colder then depicted here.

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