18Z Data

The 18Z (1pm) run is in and has kind some interesting stuff. The new NAM, much like the previous run wants to take the low a little farther east. This would certainly diminish snowfall totals and take us down to about 7.5". Meanwhile, the GFS is putting northern Indiana right on the bulls eye and keeping the previous track and keeping FWA in a heavy snow band of 10.5". I think it will fall somewhere in between. I'm a little suspect about the further east track that the NAM all of the sudden is taking this system. The GFS (can I have some wood to knock on) has been consistent for the last several days. GFS and consistent usually are not words that I would put together in one sentance. The GFS has been very consistent with the system even more so than my personal favorite the European. Remember earlier in the week the European was takning the track further north and it has come around to the GFS solution. So I'll stick with the GFS and still think 6+ inches for most of the area is a good call.