Severe weather outbreak south and west?

Sure looks like we could see some strong thunderstorms to the south. Hopefully these don't materialize with severe EF 4 and 5 tornado damage like many others have this season already. I think it's probably marginal for us getting severe weather as the capes are still pretty low. The other concern is going to be heavy rain. So far we have escaped that obstacle as well, but these weather systems from the south are certainly worrisome. So far the QPF brings in less than a half an inch. The other problem, the cooler air coming this weekend.
You can see a large trough over the area Saturday morning with cold air moving around this low.
Even colder air over the area on Sunday with -12C just to the north. So 40s are back.