This is the Global Forecast Model, it brings the storm through Tennessee and northern Kentucky.
This is 7am Saturday with the storm around Dayton, Ohio. This would bring the heaviest snow west of Fort Wayne.
By 1pm this storm moves toward Cleveland. This, again, would bring a heavy track through northeast Indiana and northwest Ohio through mid day on Saturday.
This storm pulls a little farther north and makes for an interesting storm for the northeast.
Here is the European with a bit of a different solution. This has the low farther south and west of the area. It would essentially keep us out of the heavy snow track. Keep in mind that every storm this year has moved northwest of the progged track.
The cold air is here and that's probably the scariest thing. If the track of the low moves about 150 miles west, like the GFS model, we are in for another big one. Stay tuned, as they say, never a dull moment.
2 comments:
Thanks for the update, Greg! It's so interesting to track the storms when you know a little about how the different models are forecasting it. It really helps a layperson not to be surprised when the storm doesn't do what some forecasts say!
I just found your blog today! I am a weather fanatic and I listen to you and watch NOAA all the time! I love the graphics that you put with this new storm it really helps to understand it better. I will be watching for the next blog on this developing storm system!
Thanks Greg!
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