Tuesday is going to be another exciting day as yet another in a series of southern storms heads our way. I already like the track better than the last storm system and the other thing we must keep in mind is that all of these storms have turned west this year which could mean even more in the accumulation department. Let's go through the Global Forecasting Model first.
At 12z (7am Tuesday) There is a low across northern Kentucky and Tennessee. Keep in mind that this low is on that very strong southern stream with lots of moisture to work with.
By 18z (1pm) we begin to not only see a northerly track buy also a turn to the west. This is right on the 28 to 31 degree line for us for it would be all snow. Indianapolis may end up with another event according to this model.
By 0z (Wednesday) this model takes it due east. This is what models tried to do with the last system. This scenario doesn't make much sense since we had all of the energy of this low turning it to the west the last 12 hours. But even with this plot we still could see a decent accumulating snow of 6 inches or better for northern Indiana.
Here is the new European. It too has the low originating from a strong southern stream.
It doesn't have the low making quite as dramatic of a turn to the west but remember that has been the trend this year. Also what I find interesting is more cold air is released by 0z (7pm) Tuesday and the coldest air is spilling in from the south this time, moving around the low first and then spilling in across the region from south to north. This scenario would bring us heavy snow as well.
At 12z (7am Tuesday) There is a low across northern Kentucky and Tennessee. Keep in mind that this low is on that very strong southern stream with lots of moisture to work with.
By 18z (1pm) we begin to not only see a northerly track buy also a turn to the west. This is right on the 28 to 31 degree line for us for it would be all snow. Indianapolis may end up with another event according to this model.
By 0z (Wednesday) this model takes it due east. This is what models tried to do with the last system. This scenario doesn't make much sense since we had all of the energy of this low turning it to the west the last 12 hours. But even with this plot we still could see a decent accumulating snow of 6 inches or better for northern Indiana.
Here is the new European. It too has the low originating from a strong southern stream.
It doesn't have the low making quite as dramatic of a turn to the west but remember that has been the trend this year. Also what I find interesting is more cold air is released by 0z (7pm) Tuesday and the coldest air is spilling in from the south this time, moving around the low first and then spilling in across the region from south to north. This scenario would bring us heavy snow as well.
1 comment:
I know it's exciting for the meteorologists, but for us commuters, it's OH NO NOT AGAIN!
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