Monday, March 31, 2008

Showers and thunderstorms


Showers and thunderstorms continue to develop across northern Illinois this morning. Some of these showers are convective so don't be suprised to hear some thunder a little later this afternoon. The flow right now is from the southwest so that's where the showers and storms will come from.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Greg-Whats going on lately with the NWS precipitation predictions coming up short routinely?

Greg Shoup said...

I'm afraid I am going to have to plead guilty as well here. We use a product called the QPF or Quantitative Precipitation Forecast. Which is defined as a spatial and temporal precipitation forecast that will predict the potential amount of future precipitation for a specified region, or area. In lay mans terms it's how much moisture potential we have with a particular storm system. These models are not perfect and this is probably the most difficult aspect to predict.